No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $866.33
- Potential payout
- $888.54
- Potential profit
- $22.21
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Polymarket Trader
tobelucky
0x56bda38600d14a20673477dd2342220aa9720e0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $291.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $211.71
- Potential payout
- $226.43
- Potential profit
- $14.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $184.85
- Potential payout
- $187
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.51
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.27
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $124 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.7% 888.54 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 187 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 870 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No 94% 226.43 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No 96.3% 190 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 700 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.4% 871 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.8% 433 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 98.8% 436 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.7% 433 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 866 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?No 99.6% 862.7 shares