No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $73.63
- Potential payout
- $74.26
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $13.63
Polymarket Trader
sbstrade
0x56c83e772a6ba4f637a1812d85a5be16eeaed0a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.81
- Realized PnL
- $98.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $34.37
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $17.36
- Potential payout
- $32.14
- Potential profit
- $14.79
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $23.71
- Potential payout
- $23.76
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $23.19
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $19.68
- Potential payout
- $22.57
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $9.31
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.91
- Potential profit
- $14.91
- User PnL
- -$11.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $9.56
- Potential payout
- $13.75
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $12.84
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $11.61
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.78
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 3?No 99.9% 12.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 3?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 3?No 86.2% 23.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?No 62.2% 32.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?No 51% 19.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?No 72.7% 13.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?No 35% 13.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 3?No 99.9% 39.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 3?No 99.9% 15.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?No 99.9% 35.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 3?No 99.9% 10.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?No 99.9% 13.88 shares