Polymarket Trader

lucky65535

0x56ced570558881dad4f4dfd332510d0826ccea8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $81.81
Realized PnL: $49.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $273.47
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $189.13
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.2
Potential profit: $174.2
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.36
Potential profit: $168.36
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $7.02
Potential payout: $105.59
Potential profit: $98.57
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$42.33

Yes position

Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.66
Potential profit: $84.66
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.31
Potential profit: $79.31
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.37
Potential payout: $67.06
Potential profit: $60.69
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.03

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.73
Potential profit: $63.73
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.67
Potential profit: $63.67
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.52
Potential profit: $57.52
User PnL: -$11.88

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.35
Potential profit: $56.35
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $55.68
Potential profit: $52.09
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.69
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $51.82
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.68
Potential profit: $49.68
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $48.71
Potential profit: $45.57
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.91
Potential profit: $44.91
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.44
Potential profit: $42.44
User PnL: -$11.58

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $39.21
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $16.08

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.7%
Current value: $13.32
Potential payout: $35.33
Potential profit: $22.01
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $9.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88K

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.21

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.31

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.49

No position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.5

No position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.08

No position

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

No position

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.48

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

Over position

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 151.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

Under position

Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 148.5

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.02

Over position

Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Over position

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 150.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.42

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.52

Over position

Liberty Flames vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 140.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.72

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.08

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hornets vs. Celtics

Celtics 88% 2.06 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

No 6.5% 16 shares
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?

No 33% 3.18 shares
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

No 49% 2.04 shares
Kash Patel out by April 30?

No 86% 2 shares
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?

No 52% 2.04 shares
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 6+ times during events with Rutte?

No 52% 2.04 shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants

Philadelphia Phillies 59% 2.01 shares
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Under 20% 5.12 shares
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Under 20% 5.12 shares
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Under 20% 5.12 shares
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Under 20% 5.12 shares