Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.85
- Potential profit
- $459.85
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
0x56d1...c422
0x56d10bc2ca1881904a005ce75eaebb434903c422
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $26.23
- Realized PnL
- $11.45
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $26.23
- Potential payout
- $180.91
- Potential profit
- $154.68
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.57
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 22% 180.91 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 66% 90.78 shares
- Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?Yes 11% 209.09 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 55.1% 90.79 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?Yes 14.6% 68.49 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 56% 111.11 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No 65% 18.93 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No 52.8% 18.94 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.5% 459.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 4.4% 227.27 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 27% 111.11 shares