Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Polymarket Trader
zdvr
@kkaram816
0x56d15d26dca7c994e20085b0b128bfdcbe9583ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.77
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $13.86
- Potential payout
- $192.55
- Potential profit
- $178.69
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$18.22
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.9%
- Current value
- $48.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $51.15
- Multiplier
- 2.05x
- User PnL
- -$15.68
Yes position
Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be between 17.5% and 20%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$61
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $65.57
- Potential profit
- $65.21
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.8%
- Current value
- $40.83
- Potential payout
- $62.1
- Potential profit
- $21.27
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$8.69
Yes position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$35.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $765.8
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $505.53
No position
Will Manchester City beat Newcastle?
Ends Sep 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480
No position
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Will Southampton beat Bournemouth?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.38
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.17
Yes position
Will Liverpool beat Bologna?
Ends Oct 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.4
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.62
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.03
Yes position
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.31
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.2
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.9
Yes position
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.06
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Nuggets position
Lakers vs. Nuggets
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.18
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
Yes position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 50 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 54% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?Yes 53% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Yes 74% 5.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No 76% 8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes 74% 20 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 85% 22 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 82% 7.7 shares
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in April 2026?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No 54.3% 34.29 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No 86% 50 shares