Yes position
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $243.03
- Potential profit
- $221.16
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$29.76
Polymarket Trader
turkishdelight2
0x56e8b9347866bb1a3cbc4298f80e7d85bc994241
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $202.93
- Realized PnL
- $111.97
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.9
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- User PnL
- -$7.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $75.5
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$60.5
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $44.4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $38.66
- Potential payout
- $45.22
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.6
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.78
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.06
No position
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.86
Djokovic position
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.58
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Rybakina position
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Tommy Paul position
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.07
Yes position
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes 12.8% 110.01 shares
- No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Yes 84.9% 45.22 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94% 104.26 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes 3.9% 100 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes 3.8% 99.9 shares
- Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 85% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 78% 5 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 16% 40 shares
- Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Yes 86% 100 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?Yes 84% 100 shares
- Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Yes 65.9% 100 shares