Polymarket Trader

just.some.guy.2026

0x56ebe2a8eb1b9bccfd3059f981f9c987e45e076a

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $143.85K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $58.87K
Potential payout: $69.67K
Potential profit: $10.8K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $14.7K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $41.28K
Potential payout: $47.18K
Potential profit: $5.9K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.9K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $14.82K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $180
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $6.69K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$456.39

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $8.84K
Potential payout: $8.95K
Potential profit: $111.89
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$217.68

No position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$91.6

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $280.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $64.57

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $408
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $282.01

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $800.03
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$111.29

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $648.46
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $746.07
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $288.98

Senegal position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$610

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $355
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $645
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $675
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $325
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$340

Milwaukee Brewers position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$559.99

Colorado Rockies position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.95
Potential profit: $999.95
User PnL: -$409.98

South Africa position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$315

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $677
Potential profit: $677
User PnL: -$331.46

Under position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$230

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

No 59% 500 shares
Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Iraq 63% 500 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Iraq 40% 500 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

No 18% 1,000 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

Senegal 61% 1,000 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 34% 999.99 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

No 35% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 71% 1,881.01 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 200 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

No 72% 1,754.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 12.8% 2,379.5 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 38% 1,000 shares