Polymarket Trader

f4o

0x56ec1b7877270def4b87a15559d868fcb9555f73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $453.03
Realized PnL: $786.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$195.99

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $38.8
Potential payout: $554.23
Potential profit: $515.43
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$40.51

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $82.57
Potential payout: $532.71
Potential profit: $450.14
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.35

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.42
Potential profit: $532.42
User PnL: -$85.19

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $500.56
Potential profit: $498.81
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$185.2

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.77
Potential profit: $364.77
User PnL: -$59.83

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.35
Potential profit: $364.35
User PnL: -$39.72

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $108.4
Potential payout: $261.21
Potential profit: $152.81
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$22.69

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $151
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194
Potential profit: $194
User PnL: -$171.65

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.3
Potential profit: $181.3
User PnL: -$29.58

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $68.6
Potential payout: $173.66
Potential profit: $105.06
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $35.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.07
Potential profit: $152.07
User PnL: -$113.77

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $129.98
User PnL: -$103.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.98
Potential profit: $116.98
User PnL: -$75.49

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $110.62
Potential profit: $110.12
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$13.88

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.58
Potential profit: $108.58
User PnL: -$58.13

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $94.18
Potential profit: $91.35
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$15.05

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $14.06
Potential payout: $93.74
Potential profit: $79.68
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.8
Potential profit: $88.8
User PnL: -$79.92

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $85.82
Potential payout: $86.73
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17.28

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.45
Potential profit: $64.45
User PnL: -$22.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63
Potential profit: $63
User PnL: -$57.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$48.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.01

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.64

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.64

Daria Snigur position

Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.88

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.76

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 41% 52.59 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 16% 259.3 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 36% 46.14 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

No 79% 53.57 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Yes 22% 153.04 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 25% 15 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?

No 79.5% 53 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 75% 40.32 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 49% 29.64 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?

Yes 13.8% 116.62 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

No 82.6% 37.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 73% 5 shares