Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.65
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Polymarket Trader
TedMcDonald
0x56f0ce8cf0e214f29ec71ca8053e6b2a160d327f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.55
- Realized PnL
- $6.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.55
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Current value
- $74.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.25
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $26.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 48.7% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 24.6% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 19.6% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 14?No 99.9% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 14?No 99.9% 7.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 14?No 99.9% 3 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 14?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp 99% 6.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 10?No 99.9% 6.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 10?Yes 99.8% 6.01 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 10?No 99.9% 15.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp 94% 15.96 shares