No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $199.63
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $634.26
Polymarket Trader
Criollo123
0x5706b78f49a5dbd21a22029a2d19ae4dd75201c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21K
- Realized PnL
- $783.02
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $33.18
- Potential payout
- $245.81
- Potential profit
- $212.63
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$26.82
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $32.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $27.3
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $317.46
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.16
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.67
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.83
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 52% 28.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 24.3% 213.81 shares
- Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No 99.1% 52.63 shares
- Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No 19% 52.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 25% 32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 23.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 36.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 64.6% 2,320.35 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 57% 156.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 82% 1,762.46 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 63% 156.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 65% 441.03 shares