Polymarket Trader

OdinRaven

@Odin_s_Raven

0x5711d1e631e76dd09054d3d733e2bcd480645853

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $314.15
Realized PnL: $198.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.55
Potential profit: $252.55
User PnL: -$41.69

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $27.36
Potential payout: $228
Potential profit: $200.64
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $27.36

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$149.79

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $51.85
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $118.15
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $51.85

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $167
User PnL: $0

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $133
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$100.62

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $42.63
Potential payout: $115.22
Potential profit: $72.59
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $42.63

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $69.93
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $41.07
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $69.93

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $95.36
Potential payout: $98.87
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $95.36

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $73.88
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$6.96

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.23
Potential profit: $62.23
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$24.4

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.07
Potential profit: $37.07
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $28.91
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.66

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.79
Potential profit: $24.79
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.62
Potential profit: $23.62
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.14
Potential profit: $20.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.71
Potential profit: $12.71
User PnL: -$3

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.51
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the NYT front page headlines say "Putin" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.19
Potential profit: $8.19
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.2

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

No position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

No position

Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

No position

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

No position

Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

No position

Services Down Parlay

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Bitcoin" this week?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 27% 133 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 20.7% 40 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 11% 56.1 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 92.4% 30 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 74% 5 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 64% 55 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 96.4% 75 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Yes 94.2% 24 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Yes 90.1% 17.88 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?

No 86% 8.06 shares
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 93.2% 7.28 shares
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 94% 4.99 shares