Monopolii

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $85.53
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$164.47

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $933.14
Potential profit: $933.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $921.2
Potential profit: $921.2
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $829.36
Potential profit: $829.36
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.65
Potential profit: $541.65
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.81
Potential profit: $501.81
User PnL: -$215.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.8
Potential profit: $366.8
User PnL: -$226.26

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.15
Potential profit: $258.15
User PnL: -$60.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.03
Potential profit: $258.03
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.32
Potential profit: $257.32
User PnL: -$77.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.92
Potential profit: $256.92
User PnL: -$87.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.25
Potential profit: $254.25
User PnL: -$33.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.89
Potential profit: $251.89
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.05
Potential profit: $234.05
User PnL: -$53.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.38
Potential profit: $220.38
User PnL: -$123.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.06
Potential profit: $210.06
User PnL: -$88.92

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.7
Potential profit: $209.7
User PnL: -$9.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.06
Potential profit: $209.06
User PnL: -$89.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.98
Potential profit: $207.98
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $564.98

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.56

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.69

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.68

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.86

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.09

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET