No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $56.31
- Potential payout
- $88.68
- Potential profit
- $32.37
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $9.31
Polymarket Trader
muppet-master
0x571f05694a64f95e1596a8ae8d93dd403570fe38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.31
- Realized PnL
- $275.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.27
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.94
No position
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.49
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by June 30?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 88.68 shares
- Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?No 71% 47.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.4% 35.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82.6% 35.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 77.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 5% 472.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72% 22.22 shares
- DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by June 30?No 79% 20.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?No 91% 10.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 450 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 293.96 shares