Polymarket Trader

elswizzle69

0x57235bfd999bf5d3410b2f52a41599b46c5ada89

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.75
Realized PnL: $313.09
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.64K
Potential profit: $20.64K
User PnL: -$62.99

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.83K
User PnL: -$682.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$464.8

Yes position

Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$235.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$18.58

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $943.46
Potential profit: $943.46
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.71
Potential profit: $785.71
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $693.12
Potential profit: $693.12
User PnL: -$48.52

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $616.5
Potential profit: $616.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $556.15
Potential profit: $531.41
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$47.55

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.08
Potential profit: $448.08
User PnL: -$290

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $394.88
Potential profit: $394.88
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.51
Potential profit: $312.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.44
Potential profit: $259.44
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.74
Potential profit: $235.74
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.44
Potential profit: $233.44
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.01
Potential profit: $158.01
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$15

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $59.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.33

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.52

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.88

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$26.71

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.38

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$89.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 13% 556.15 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 7% 642.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 3.8% 526.32 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.8% 153.58 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 42% 185.75 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 8% 566.98 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 42% 316.26 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 24% 41.63 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 53% 132.08 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 23% 108.7 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 87% 120.67 shares