Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.17
- Potential profit
- $162.17
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x573024660c9E8ccDA8464A35aDeed8F6302A579B-1777001336878
0x573024660c9e8ccda8464a35adeed8f6302a579b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.4
- Realized PnL
- $280.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.62
- Potential profit
- $155.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.1
- Potential profit
- $102.1
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.21
- Potential profit
- $98.21
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.26
- Potential profit
- $96.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.11
- Potential profit
- $89.11
- User PnL
- -$14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.13
- Potential profit
- $82.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.78
- Potential profit
- $77.78
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.84
- Potential profit
- $51.84
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.16
- Potential profit
- $51.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.26
- Potential profit
- $40.26
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $27.4
- Potential payout
- $37.28
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.23
- Potential profit
- $36.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.19
- Potential profit
- $35.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.18
- Potential profit
- $23.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.55
- Potential profit
- $21.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.64
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown 65% 26.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown 19% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 59% 32.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 26% 3.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 26% 3.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 29% 3.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 28% 17.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 26% 19.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 33% 15.15 shares