Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Polymarket Trader
cassettes6
0x57302c0577ce0433c9e2abefe01d22286eb3524f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.01
- Realized PnL
- $15.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $1.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.08
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No 99.7% 1.01 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?No 96.4% 1.48 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?No 99% 1.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 1.02 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 27.7% 1.1 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 94.8% 1.05 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?No 98.4% 1.02 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.4% 1.38 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 90.6% 1.1 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 1.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 1.02 shares
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes 92.9% 1.26 shares