Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $37.96
- Potential payout
- $146
- Potential profit
- $108.04
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Polymarket Trader
soda247
0x57317737ae2ad0ed97ce5c2fdbd467defd55e855
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $174.33
- Realized PnL
- $159.91
- Win rate
- 47.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $132.13
- Potential payout
- $146
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $19.71
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122
- Potential profit
- $122
- User PnL
- -$98.82
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $4.32
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.48
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.47
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.24
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 4.32 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No 77% 146 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 28% 146 shares
- Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No 96.7% 18.5 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?Yes 76.9% 138.2 shares
- Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No 99.7% 2.87 shares
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No 16% 122 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?Yes 81% 122 shares
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes 2% 121 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes 97.1% 121 shares
- Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No 99.2% 120.16 shares
- Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?No 99.8% 119.2 shares