Polymarket Trader

hopolopop

0x5735a6918d3a7fd0b92f19abd92ffedc8d21239d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.59K
Realized PnL: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $445.46
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$36.29

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$79.7

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $985.31
Potential profit: $985.31
User PnL: -$143.5

Yes position

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $301.18
Potential payout: $814
Potential profit: $512.82
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$44.54

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640.64
Potential profit: $640.64
User PnL: -$198

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.39
Potential profit: $639.39
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.77
Potential profit: $387.77
User PnL: -$177

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.41
Potential profit: $339.41
User PnL: -$54.6

Yes position

Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $25.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $274.65
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$25.6

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.84
Potential profit: $249.84
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.88
Potential profit: $176.88
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.53
Potential profit: $173.53
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.22
Potential profit: $133.22
User PnL: -$117.82

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.11
Potential profit: $85.11
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.26
Potential profit: $30.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.13

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.72

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.5

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.84

No position

French election called by October 17?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 76% 116.62 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 75% 48 shares
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 17.5% 250 shares
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 43% 384 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 76% 200 shares
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 42% 430 shares
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 14.4% 50 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 77% 400 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 75.9% 896.68 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 51% 21.57 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Yes 79% 37.97 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 21% 142.86 shares