Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $67.23
- Potential payout
- $137.2
- Potential profit
- $69.97
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$21.45
Polymarket Trader
gorgonautical
0x57391539c64f9dcb13a8513c6155d09a6f9b8df9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.23
- Realized PnL
- -$406.96
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.45
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.73
Yes position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.26
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.33
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.5
No position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$125.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 64.6% 137.2 shares
- Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Barcelona win La Liga?No 14% 898.29 shares
- Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No 99.9% 8.23 shares
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No 99.9% 33.98 shares
- Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes 10.8% 250 shares
- Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes 10.8% 250 shares
- Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No 99.6% 3.95 shares
- Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No 99.8% 3.96 shares
- Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No 95.9% 8.24 shares