Yes position
Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.04K
- Potential profit
- $40.04K
- User PnL
- -$40.04
Polymarket Trader
BFBB
0x5754becbe873d6ba9eefa4eedf214dd254ece515
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.91K
- Realized PnL
- $105.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.61K
- Potential payout
- $30.66K
- Potential profit
- $45.99
- User PnL
- $13.88K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.18K
- Potential profit
- $25.18K
- User PnL
- -$2.48K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $805.59
- Potential payout
- $15.95K
- Potential profit
- $15.15K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $194.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.25K
- Potential profit
- $15.25K
- User PnL
- -$3.66K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.04K
- Potential profit
- $15.04K
- User PnL
- -$378.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.9K
- Potential profit
- $13.9K
- User PnL
- -$3.58K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $13.79K
- Potential profit
- $10.82K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$840.75
Yes position
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9K
- Potential profit
- $11.9K
- User PnL
- -$432.1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.31K
- Potential profit
- $11.31K
- User PnL
- -$226.12
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.87K
- Potential profit
- $9.87K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.75K
- Potential profit
- $9.75K
- User PnL
- -$58.18
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $526.42
- Potential payout
- $9.32K
- Potential profit
- $8.79K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$23.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.21K
- Potential profit
- $9.21K
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $981.76
- Potential payout
- $9.13K
- Potential profit
- $8.15K
- Multiplier
- 9.30x
- User PnL
- -$18.23
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.48K
- Potential profit
- $8.48K
- User PnL
- -$25.82
Yes position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.78K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.75K
- Potential profit
- $7.75K
- User PnL
- -$35.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- User PnL
- -$509.78
Yes position
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Yes position
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
No position
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?No 62.3% 48.14 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 5,555.56 shares
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 10,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 6,818.18 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 0.2% 1,190.47 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 2.1% 1,190.48 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 5.4% 889.52 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 1,111.11 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 49.2% 90.46 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 57.6% 693.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 14.7% 544.35 shares