Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $14.15
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $2.76
Polymarket Trader
0x576c...88c1
0x576c49e32c02a0a3c42924e137b66c3d298488c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $101.98
- Realized PnL
- $52.04
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $11.89
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $11.41
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $10.43
- Potential profit
- $8.87
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $9.01
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $8.86
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $8.1
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7.79
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $7.08
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $7.03
- Potential profit
- $5.51
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.61
No position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?Down 48% 9.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 49% 9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 22.9% 7.03 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 66% 9.14 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 7.5 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 56.3% 8.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 54% 11.2 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 77% 7.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 30% 8.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 50% 11.22 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 88% 6.82 shares