Polymarket Trader

qianwange

0x576db1078b7aeee8663a5bf89bf5b71ca4a50466

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.58
Realized PnL: $32.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $13.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 4m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 35m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 83% 15 shares
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

No 75% 5 shares
Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?

No 79% 5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 83% 12.05 shares
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?

Yes 36% 5 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?

No 99.9% 5 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Down 84% 1.16 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 73% 1.32 shares
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 59% 1.59 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 21% 1.26 shares
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 23% 1.61 shares