Polymarket Trader

shallenger

0x576f002fa0685d92fe882f463ded1f33ff008abd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $409.51
Realized PnL: $1.83K
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.93K
Potential profit: $16.93K
User PnL: -$16.93

Yes position

Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $334.89
Potential payout: $7.81K
Potential profit: $7.47K
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $182.64

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$14.93

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $33.13
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $25.76

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$8.89

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$150.36

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$72

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.17
Potential profit: $722.17
User PnL: -$31.05

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$248

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $638
Potential profit: $638
User PnL: -$75.14

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$31.64

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $369.99
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Senor Tilt be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.79
Potential profit: $131.79
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.18

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.39

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

No position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will Daniel Băluță get less than 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 127 shares
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.3% 62.5 shares
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.6% 959.68 shares
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 53% 94 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

No 58% 46.16 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 75% 50 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

FURIA 57.4% 30 shares
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.3% 1,313.03 shares
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?

Yes 0.1% 16,934.85 shares
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Yes 9.3% 1,700 shares
Will Daniel Băluță get less than 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Yes 1.3% 578 shares