0x5784...34b8

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $239.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.85
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.63
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $149.68
User PnL: -$74.84

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $149.68
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.4% in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $149.68
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $149.68
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.7
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.88
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.82
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.22
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.7
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.58
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $107.37

No position

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $69.82

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $67.56

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.37

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $55.86

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.16

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 19.1%
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $50.77

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $46.67

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $46.28

Yes position

Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $44.89

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $44.47

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.43

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.6

No position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $41.89

No position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $40.26

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.42

No position

Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.89

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.75

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?