Yes position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.79K
- Potential profit
- $7.79K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
BeefDerky
0x5787c694f04ec22470bf766099814a5f74f95a48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.44
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$84.99
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $38.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $38.47
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$35.17
Yes position
Bull run: September
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$112
Yes position
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$90.64
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $942.31
- Potential profit
- $942.31
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $937.5
- Potential profit
- $927.66
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.67
- Potential profit
- $833.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.38
- Potential profit
- $750.38
- User PnL
- -$82.76
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $69.77
- Potential payout
- $734.39
- Potential profit
- $664.62
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$43.23
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $616.56
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.03
- Potential profit
- $559.03
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.09
- Potential payout
- $555.31
- Potential profit
- $519.21
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$17.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $551.48
- Potential profit
- $551.48
- User PnL
- -$17.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.41
Yes position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.94
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.24
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.03
Yes position
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.33
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.3
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.57
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.64
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.57
Yes position
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Friday?
Ends Jun 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Eric Adams get over 1% in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.81
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.93
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.76
No position
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.95
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Yes position
Will "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $55M?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?
Ends Aug 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Yes 8.2% 317.89 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 19% 82.63 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 937.5 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes 3.3% 268.94 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.3% 600 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 40 shares
- New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Yes 14% 60 shares
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 13.2% 11.17 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes 3.7% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes 7.5% 95 shares