Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $93.74
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.41K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $44.33
Polymarket Trader
0x578DfccFadFA039FC11Fa5f0D5598e3Dbd4c3306-1778100727788
0x578dfccfadfa039fc11fa5f0d5598e3dbd4c3306
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.74
- Realized PnL
- $446.85
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$9.87
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$79.75
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $723.34
- Potential profit
- $723.34
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.58
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.64
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $35.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $5.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.7% 6,749.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.4% 750 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 17% 105.75 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 16% 105.75 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.5% 3,462.42 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 16.2% 55.56 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.5% 268.82 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8.2% 268.82 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 4.4% 493.87 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 4.9% 493.88 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.8% 3,196.08 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 2,999 shares