No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.31K
- Potential payout
- $10.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $65.97
Polymarket Trader
silent
0x579ecec5220e65f27580e74bdc5c4780b350fef5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.9K
- Realized PnL
- $509.36
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$220
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $16.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $88.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$510
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $537.58
- Potential payout
- $540.55
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- User PnL
- $24.05
Yes position
Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Marek Woch be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Joanna Senyszyn be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Artur Bartoszewicz be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Mr. Scorsese win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will aka Charlie Sheen win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$79.8
Yes position
Will SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Billy Joel: And So It Goes win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will USD fall to 17,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.91
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $6.44
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.64
Yes position
Will Pee-wee as Himself win Best Producer of Non-Fiction TV at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $49.42
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $35.62
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
N
No position
Test Series England vs. New Zealand: England vs New Zealand - Match goes to Day 5?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Thomas Saggese win the National League Rookie of the Year?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 6% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 5% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 1,666 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 1,667 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 1,667 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 1,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 89.1% 500 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 87.8% 1,000 shares
- Will USD fall to 17,000 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?Yes 4.6% 8 shares