Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $91.07
- Potential payout
- $104.08
- Potential profit
- $13.01
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $40.07
Polymarket Trader
fggdfgdf
0x57a893ff0b1c47b0cedb849d1342d105e00b1362
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.07
- Realized PnL
- $147.91
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$14.62
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.48
- Potential profit
- $26.48
- User PnL
- -$14.3
No position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.13
- Potential profit
- $25.13
- User PnL
- -$11.86
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.42
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
70k position
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Bitcoin above $110,000 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by Friday?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?No 51% 27.45 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 45.6% 18 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 30% 37 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 48% 30 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No 47.2% 25.13 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 50% 45.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 32% 68.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 30% 68.93 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 35.9% 106.01 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 62% 15.91 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 62% 88.87 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 61% 1.23 shares