Polymarket Trader

butme

0x57a8a29491ed350c40600d959a1cd52879832fff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.04
Realized PnL: $35.11
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $39.54
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$8.88

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $38.43
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.45

No position

Will 100T make a roster change before August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $41.77
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.12

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $9.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $20.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.64
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $4.68
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

No position

Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 6600–6700 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at 7000+ on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.2%
Multiplier: 3.82x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 (SPX) close at 6900–7000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Multiplier: 6.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?

Ends May 31, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?

Yes 24% 21 shares
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?

Yes 26% 20 shares
Will Top Esports make a roster change before September?

Yes 24% 3 shares
Will Top Esports make a roster change before September?

Yes 24% 18 shares
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?

Yes 20% 21.99 shares
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?

No 27% 1 shares
Will EDward Gaming be the Last VCT CN Team Standing at EWC 2026?

No 27% 20 shares
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title

No 23% 42 shares
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Yes 38% 3.8 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 35% 42 shares
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

No 8% 21 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?

Yes 37% 19.77 shares