Polymarket Trader

0x57Ad63e4c84E3c5AA6194c26299f67d4d2E10BDb-1773536893000

0x57ad63e4c84e3c5aa6194c26299f67d4d2e10bdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.27
Realized PnL: $5.4
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.24
Potential profit: $219.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.92
Potential profit: $82.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.95
Potential profit: $46.95
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $33.19
Multiplier: 7.30x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58
Potential profit: $3.58
User PnL: -$1

enjoy boys position

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs enjoy boys (BO3) - Tennisi Stampede Champions Group Stage

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Winter Bear position

Dota 2: Winter Bear vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

Team Shpilit position

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.39

Team Lynx position

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.53

DOGSENT position

Dota 2: Winter Bear vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 Winner

Team Shpilit 18% 5.56 shares
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Team Lynx 56% 2.12 shares
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Team Lynx 47% 2.13 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

No 0.5% 250 shares
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Winter Bear 68% 7.35 shares
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

DOGSENT 32% 3.5 shares
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Winter Bear 67% 1.49 shares
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs DOGSENT (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

DOGSENT 57% 3.51 shares
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs enjoy boys (BO3) - Tennisi Stampede Champions Group Stage

enjoy boys 56% 1.79 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 28% 3.57 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 77% 4.88 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 41% 4.88 shares