Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $54.94
- Potential payout
- $7.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$198.82
Polymarket Trader
gdyhv
0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.05K
- Realized PnL
- $40.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.95K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- $88.01
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $737.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $114.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $109.32
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $113.25
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $2.51K
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $42.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $58.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $97.75
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $134.25
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $291.86
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $89.02
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $463.1
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $406.81
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $85.68
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $196.65
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $302.57
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9.42
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $455.99
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$64
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $53.54
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$219.95
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $814.22
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $707.69
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$159.8
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $345
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $252
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $262.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $67.5
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $363.8
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$91.97
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $912.84
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $470.25
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $207.46
Yes position
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $955.5
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $344.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $147.9
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25.13
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $63.13
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$113.64
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $118.48
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.58K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
No position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $993.88
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 92% 345 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?No 93.9% 1,514 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?No 81.3% 61.21 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 9% 672.25 shares
- Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No 82.3% 33.8 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.1% 750.8 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99.6% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 9% 173.6 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 91.1% 272 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes 92% 2,149.22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59% 2,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21.3% 1,492.99 shares