Polymarket Trader

0xhanxyz

0x57c02fb1189621fe9c0dbd97c7066920eeb260c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.89K
Realized PnL: $7.39K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.3K
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$351.88

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.15K
User PnL: -$955.59

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $4.11K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $464.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $53.9

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $658.72
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $138.42

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$599.99

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$1.06K

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$1.67K

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $54.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $222.04

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$131.45

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $185.51
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $938.81
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $841.36
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $230.43
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$112.54

Yes position

Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$920.93

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $237.02
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $771.56
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$155.12

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $625
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $225

Yes position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$536

No position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.26
Potential profit: $567.26
User PnL: -$232.74

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.91
Potential profit: $531.91
User PnL: -$51.95

No position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.71
Potential profit: $471.71
User PnL: -$138.89

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $429.38
Potential payout: $442.43
Potential profit: $13.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $47.76

No position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.45
Potential profit: $439.45
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$302.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.76

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.32

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$295.19

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$869.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Yes 19% 179.81 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 61% 1,728 shares
Glean IPO before 2027?

Yes 14% 220.89 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Yes 16% 944.51 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Yes 76% 2,668.79 shares
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?

Yes 52% 140 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 57% 4,555.6 shares
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?

Yes 50% 5.38 shares
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?

Yes 50% 854.61 shares
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?

Yes 49.5% 10.87 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Yes 76% 280 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39% 2,639.48 shares