Polymarket Trader

poptree

0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $529.06K
Realized PnL: $318.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $163.62K
Potential payout: $430K
Potential profit: $266.39K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$51.39K

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $266.39K
Potential payout: $430K
Potential profit: $163.62K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $51.39K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $68.51K
Potential payout: $69.16K
Potential profit: $657.06
User PnL: $5.09K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $14.81K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.45K
Potential profit: $13.45K
User PnL: -$1.28K

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.09K
Potential profit: $12.09K
User PnL: -$108.83

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$966.66

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $6.85K
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $51.79
User PnL: $714.87

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.7K

Yes position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: $343.82

No position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $4.03K
User PnL: -$653.71

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.93K
User PnL: -$289.15

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $18.93
User PnL: $476.79

No position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $275.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$225.04

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$965.7

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$530

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.57
Potential profit: $845.57
User PnL: -$386.72

Yes position

Will Behn win TN-07?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $531.49
Potential profit: $531.49
User PnL: -$96.75

No position

Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.33
Potential profit: $338.33
User PnL: -$67.67

Yes position

Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.43
Potential profit: $259.43
User PnL: -$54.48

Yes position

Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.66
Potential profit: $185.66
User PnL: -$61.78

No position

Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.66
Potential profit: $165.66
User PnL: -$90.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.04K

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.75K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76K

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88K

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.07K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.24K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51K

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93K

Yes position

Will Trump say "jail/prison" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61K

No position

Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.49K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01K

Yes position

Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8K

No position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75K

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27K

No position

Kamala president by Friday?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 91.9% 4,258.19 shares
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 88% 2,399.3 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 20% 2,710.66 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 4,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 73.8% 12.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 75.9% 3,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 77.4% 15,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.4% 6,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 72.8% 18,319.6 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 64.9% 3,966.62 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 11.9% 3,000 shares