Yes position
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $108.45
- Potential payout
- $985.9
- Potential profit
- $877.45
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$86.94
Polymarket Trader
JonasB
0x57cc0ba8ed5ffc0a42cfeddb8cd4ddc528c39f51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.45
- Realized PnL
- $4.56K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.98
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $914.58
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.96
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $358.44
Yes position
Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.25
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $226.9
No position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.19
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.65
No position
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.57
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.69
No position
Will Trump say a slur during the debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.55
Trump position
Who will win Latino men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.61
No position
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.69
No position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.78
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.94
Yes position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.7
No position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.6
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Ends Sep 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.2
No position
Will Todd Fine win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.11
Yes position
Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PA
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.39
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.59
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$35.24
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Yes 18.7% 160.29 shares
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?Yes 20% 975 shares
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes 43% 488.43 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 95.4% 766 shares
- 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Yes 12% 668.68 shares
- Who will win Latino men?Trump 29% 186.17 shares
- Will Trump win 30% of Black men?Yes 29% 690.73 shares
- Who will win Latino men?Trump 30% 567 shares
- Will Trump win 30% of Black men?Yes 22% 798.78 shares
- Will Trump win 30% of Black men?Yes 21% 1,931.73 shares
- Who will win Latino men?Trump 23% 1,095.26 shares
- Who will win Latino men?Trump 22% 593.72 shares