Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $125.66
- Potential payout
- $19.33K
- Potential profit
- $19.21K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Polymarket Trader
buyrightbake
0x57cd8cad26e2d72dbfb25f2642a486cc374282ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.08K
- Realized PnL
- $80.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $115.87
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $5.03K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$310.75
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.85K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.4%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$236
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $996.63
- Potential payout
- $2.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $71.28
Baltimore Orioles position
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$617.13
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $11.53
- User PnL
- $176.82
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$264.13
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$198.04
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$496.97
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$83.05
Yes position
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$325.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $31.46
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $983.23
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$327.14
Yes position
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.05
- Potential profit
- $999.05
- User PnL
- -$435.19
Yes position
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $880
- Potential profit
- $880
- User PnL
- -$176
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $869.25
- Potential profit
- $869.25
- User PnL
- -$34.69
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $866.98
- Potential profit
- $866.98
- User PnL
- -$207.32
Yes position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $848.75
- Potential profit
- $848.75
- User PnL
- -$186.49
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $419.86
- Potential payout
- $839.72
- Potential profit
- $419.86
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $98.12
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $836.76
- Potential profit
- $836.76
- User PnL
- -$538.79
Yes position
Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $823
- Potential profit
- $823
- User PnL
- -$73.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Kinzinger?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.15
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $768.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Yes 24% 6 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 55% 50 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 61% 80 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 88% 316.06 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 88.2% 36 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 89% 24 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 89.1% 26.11 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No 89.2% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 12% 131.49 shares
- Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 64% 36 shares
- Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4% 70 shares