Polymarket Trader

masnjr

@Degenerate4728

0x57d494d8aecd90fb4f48423974f7e48ec1f9ac0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $463.98
Realized PnL: $9.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $830.42
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $411.46
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $414.38
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $256.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $273.75
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.12
Potential profit: $197.12
User PnL: -$11.04

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $46.87
Potential payout: $117.17
Potential profit: $70.3
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$22.41

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.1%
Current value: $99.52
Potential payout: $113.03
Potential profit: $13.51
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $9.63

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.35
Potential profit: $109.35
User PnL: -$26.28

Yes position

Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.72
Potential profit: $97.72
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.19
Potential profit: $71.19
User PnL: -$3.63

Oilers position

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.79
Potential profit: $46.79
User PnL: -$19.65

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.43
Potential profit: $41.43
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $34.9
Potential profit: $31.95
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $25.04
Potential payout: $26.56
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.51
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 57m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.1%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Death to America" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $15.19
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.27
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $3.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.32

Yes position

Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.76

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.67

Yes position

Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.6

Yes position

Will Kai and Speed take 25-49 attempts to beat Fortnite?

Ends Feb 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.59

Yes position

Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.21

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.48

Yes position

Will "The Substance" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $360.66

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.32

Yes position

Will Addison Rae perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265

No position

Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.88

Yes position

Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $229.76

Yes position

Oscars Bingo

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.06

Yes position

Will Adolescence win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.75

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $216.77

No position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.39

No position

Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.77

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.5

No position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $178.86

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.44

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us"?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 52% 96.15 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

No 81.6% 64.86 shares
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 74% 47.3 shares
Benedict Wong as Wong?

Yes 76% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 200 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 52% 30 shares
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 84.9% 101.29 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 60.2% 146.41 shares
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 85% 49 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 50 shares
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Yes 84% 60 shares
Will Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?

Yes 80.3% 69.26 shares