No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
flanders-media
0x57dda102b96975ef09bf60c4b4dd5399afe37b52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $709.18
- Realized PnL
- $309.2
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $31.88
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $718.13
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $32.86
- Potential payout
- $602.97
- Potential profit
- $570.11
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $592.2
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$22.2
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $61.76
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $526.47
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$38.23
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $23.56
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $551.15
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$26.44
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $428.57
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $25.66
- Potential payout
- $394.74
- Potential profit
- $369.08
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$124.34
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $21.77
- Potential payout
- $342.78
- Potential profit
- $321.02
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $31.77
- Potential payout
- $254.18
- Potential profit
- $222.4
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $248.1
- Potential profit
- $240.53
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $49.14
- Potential payout
- $204.76
- Potential profit
- $155.62
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $17.78
- Potential payout
- $197.58
- Potential profit
- $179.8
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$12.22
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $192.04
- Potential profit
- $186.09
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $178.76
- Potential payout
- $181.03
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $28.76
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $47.58
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $113.71
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $45.33
- Potential payout
- $64.76
- Potential profit
- $19.43
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $16.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.74
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.62
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.19
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $52.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.88
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$148
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes 15.7% 254.18 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 4% 750 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 22% 375 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 44% 64.76 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 75% 133.33 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 3.3% 602.97 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 8.8% 342.78 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 5% 600 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 5.2% 192.04 shares
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 4% 248.1 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes 15.2% 197.58 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.5% 206.62 shares