Yes position
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $8.13K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
Polymarket Trader
imjustalarp
0x57e4bd0fa030e6a6fdde7ee0b58aa497b4f6835e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.44K
- Realized PnL
- $97.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $34.69
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $5.3K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.8K
- Potential payout
- $4.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $367.45
Yes position
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$700.13
Yes position
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $750.23
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $734.95
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$179.95
Yes position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $80.37
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.62K
No position
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $265.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $313.31
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $928.36
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $868.38
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$222.16
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $435.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $30.89
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$703.49
No position
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $272
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $94.37
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $315.72
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $402.31
Yes position
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $580.81
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$979.17
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $377.4
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$155.4
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $176.69
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $419.79
Yes position
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $825
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$275
Yes position
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $939.99
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$699.99
Yes position
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $821.02
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$320.2
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $612
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$599
Yes position
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $917.97
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $881.97
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$272.99
No position
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $274.56
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$97.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9K
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06K
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
No position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93K
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Yes position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
No position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Over position
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 999.99 shares
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over 75% 603.46 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 5,000 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 89% 300 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 800 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 20% 200 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 300 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes 41% 200 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes 51% 600 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 26% 400 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94% 400 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 63% 300 shares