No position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $33.88
- Potential payout
- $35.1
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Polymarket Trader
lilychou
0x57fdd2f05893e168f94fb8d1d8b4b3e260f03544
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.87
- Realized PnL
- $9.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $29.12
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $25.01
- Potential payout
- $25.38
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Solana dip to $110 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Berachain airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Solana dip to $70 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $330?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.7% 35.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 98.5% 25.38 shares
- Trump out as President by July 31?No 99.6% 29.12 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 20.28 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.7% 26.1 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 20.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 99.6% 30.12 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.6% 26.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?No 99.8% 23.04 shares
- Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?No 99.8% 23.05 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No 99.8% 13.03 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 25?No 99.2% 15.12 shares