Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
maybebrian
0x580a99479f35c7498e62a57b4a4a4a41682da236
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $3.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$20.5
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$317.99
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Current value
- $363.07
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $989.15
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $301.58
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $899.55
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $765.33
- Potential profit
- $765.33
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $157.89
- Potential payout
- $644.45
- Potential profit
- $486.56
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$136.11
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.54
- Potential profit
- $540.54
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $500.17
- Potential profit
- $493.92
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
No position
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $326.98
- Potential profit
- $326.98
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $273.78
- Potential payout
- $320.21
- Potential profit
- $46.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $73.78
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $269.23
- Potential payout
- $307.69
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $69.23
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $221.03
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$11.15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.12
- Potential profit
- $201.12
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $11.04
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $177.64
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.54
- Potential profit
- $175.54
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $85.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $80.83
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$14.17
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $142.31
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $42.31
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $130.56
- Potential profit
- $119.46
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$18.9
No position
Will John Kennedy vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.16
- Potential profit
- $127.16
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $109.82
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.26
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $240.11
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.27
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.54
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.6
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.09
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.56
Yes position
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $51.55
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.18
Yes position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.96
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.62
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.41
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.67
Yes position
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
Yes position
Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 96.3% 98.03 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 32.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 512.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 51% 98.04 shares
- Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?No 72% 27.78 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 43% 406.06 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 39.1% 102.26 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 38% 24.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 49% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?Yes 57% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 49% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 36% 140 shares