Polymarket Trader

ar1917

0x580faa3495fab4bb15fc0d96b5a37fa3a366e0d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.34
Realized PnL: $3.99
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.36
Potential profit: $177.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $3.66
Potential profit: $2.32
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?

Yes 41% 3.66 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 4% 7.41 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 25% 4.44 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?

Yes 91% 6.93 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 0.2% 10.86 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 40% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 10.87 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 7?

Yes 0.6% 177.36 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 7?

Yes 0.7% 150 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 7?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares