Polymarket Trader

t20fboys

0x58175096daaa697a9878a707deaa7c94688217a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.71K
Realized PnL: $897.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $236.55
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $306.83
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $179.14
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $936.99
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $74.71

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $256.44
Potential payout: $992.04
Potential profit: $735.6
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $104.53

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $404.66
Potential payout: $478.88
Potential profit: $74.23
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $199.86

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.06
Potential profit: $232.06
User PnL: -$59.89

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.04
Potential profit: $218.04
User PnL: -$61.05

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $26.91
Potential payout: $131.27
Potential profit: $104.36
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$32.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $30.55
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $53.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $44.55
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $65.45
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $16.45

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $18.99
Potential payout: $88.33
Potential profit: $69.34
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$29.71

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$42.2

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $51.32
Potential payout: $75.02
Potential profit: $23.71
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.41
Potential profit: $69.41
User PnL: -$13

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$24.5

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $41.66
User PnL: -$7

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $37.14
Potential profit: $31.39
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$15.34

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $25.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $9.05

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.03
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $19.62
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.97

No position

Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $10.85
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$2.77

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.7

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.44

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.75

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

No position

Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.4

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.44

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $29.15

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.7%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $24.55

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.6

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $18

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $16.51

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 56.25 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 49.6% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 45% 5.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 43% 1.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 16% 2.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 14% 3.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 9% 4.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 10% 5.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 9% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 22% 4.55 shares