No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.56K
- Potential profit
- $65.56K
- User PnL
- -$60.61K
Polymarket Trader
reketor
0x5823a87faccc566579cf88cc89ffe50eb54d673f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.79
- Realized PnL
- -$18.87K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$4.88K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $83.79
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$77.82
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.93
- Potential profit
- $515.93
- User PnL
- -$352
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.69
- Potential profit
- $126.69
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.44
- Potential profit
- $20.44
- User PnL
- -$11.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $887.9
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.37
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $326.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.03
No position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.79
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.07
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$103.2
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$121.31
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$372.6
No position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$501.17
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.74K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.03K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.42K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.13K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.58K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?Yes 5.1% 1,801.98 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 91% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 92.5% 65,656.9 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.3% 61,142.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETDown 11% 118.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 6.8% 1,069.75 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.3% 99 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 68.9% 61,241.19 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 50.5% 10,250.43 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 80.7% 45,882.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 97% 56,132.98 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 91% 59,827.88 shares