Polymarket Trader

netease

@qhjm3612

0x58256cf45875dd051f5aace352f41b6e24bf1c87

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.18
Realized PnL: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$65.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$2.19

No position

Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8?

Ends Jan 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $808.78
Potential profit: $808.78
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475.05
Potential profit: $475.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.44
Potential profit: $213.44
User PnL: -$15.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.9
Potential profit: $205.9
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.16
Potential profit: $190.16
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.44
Potential profit: $181.44
User PnL: -$36.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.96
Potential profit: $180.96
User PnL: -$23.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.02
Potential profit: $173.02
User PnL: -$29.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.11
Potential profit: $172.11
User PnL: -$12.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.77
Potential profit: $169.77
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.22
Potential profit: $168.22
User PnL: -$11.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.78
Potential profit: $166.78
User PnL: -$10.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.26
Potential profit: $164.26
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.37
Potential profit: $163.37
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.05
Potential profit: $163.05
User PnL: -$16.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.89
Potential profit: $161.89
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.73
Potential profit: $161.73
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.81
Potential profit: $150.81
User PnL: -$3.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.64
Potential profit: $150.64
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.41
Potential profit: $149.41
User PnL: -$25.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.44
Potential profit: $148.44
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.18
Potential profit: $143.18
User PnL: -$12.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.88

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 83% 121 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 1.6% 130.43 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93.9% 82.6 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.3% 130.43 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 72.6% 82.6 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 258.06 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 156.25 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 354.84 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 1,776.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 191.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 197.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 7% 200.32 shares