No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $747.69
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $793.94
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $11.18
Polymarket Trader
rosenberg
0x5837c16c3dd745173cc39259d48bb5e10bf38778
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $747.69
- Realized PnL
- $241.19
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.3
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.23
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.75
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Putin position
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
A$AP Rocky sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Trump x Putin talk before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Trump say "Transgender" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
X relaunches Vine before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 58% 5.17 shares
- Trump out as President before GTA VI?No 49% 20 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No 47.8% 1,541.63 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 3.5% 132.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 32% 56.16 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 13.2% 15.11 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 35% 100 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?Yes 49% 20.41 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.2% 71.52 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 46.2% 28.14 shares