Polymarket Trader

BreakEven

0x5838192d931f91d2e56893c634ad8861a49c367c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.4K
Realized PnL: $1.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $154.8
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $96.02

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $980.5
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $965.5
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $21.6

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $108.53
Potential payout: $745.9
Potential profit: $637.37
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $34.61

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $123.75
Potential payout: $660
Potential profit: $536.25
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $48.52
Potential payout: $530.3
Potential profit: $481.78
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $86.76
Potential payout: $354.11
Potential profit: $267.35
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $200.77
Potential payout: $206.23
Potential profit: $5.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $165.77

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $161.88
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $30.62
Potential payout: $145.46
Potential profit: $114.84
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $2.18

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $61
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $62.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $37.4
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $82.68
Potential payout: $92.33
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $47.28

Yes position

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 33.7%
Current value: $24.14
Potential payout: $71.74
Potential profit: $47.6
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $19.72
Potential payout: $51.22
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $39.82
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $34.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $31.55
Potential payout: $37.85
Potential profit: $6.3
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.61
Potential profit: $35.61
User PnL: -$20.26

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.28
Potential profit: $28.28
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.76

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.34

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.6

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.94

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.05

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.7

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.52

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.15

No position

Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.92

No position

Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.98

No position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.93

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.7

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.77

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.43

Yes position

Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.45

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.25

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.47

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 26% 50.55 shares
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

No 87% 7.35 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

No 63% 4.76 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 11% 10.86 shares
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

No 68% 7.35 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

No 88% 5.68 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 46% 10.87 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 21.98 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

No 65% 3.08 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

No 64% 7.81 shares