Polymarket Trader

0x5839D5A69C738538c03D123ea179080B5CD82Fc4-1772548614189

0x5839d5a69c738538c03d123ea179080b5cd82fc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $215.64
Realized PnL: $269.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $7.47
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $172.53
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $73.2
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $18.84
Potential payout: $56.5
Potential profit: $37.66
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $8.84

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $34.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15.26
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $9.24

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $49.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $32.99
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $27.24
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$4

Under position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $9.98
User PnL: -$4.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.18

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.17

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.68

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

No position

Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

12.7% 153.39 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 27% 103.44 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 29% 103.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?

Yes 99.3% 60 shares
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Under 32% 20 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.9% 60 shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5

Over 13% 33.73 shares
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5

Over 29.6% 33.73 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

No 62% 50 shares
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 24% 16.67 shares
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Yes 16% 25 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 22% 20 shares