No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $18.1K
- Potential payout
- $19.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $375.8
Polymarket Trader
0x5845643Df9d281b78707b6929264f698615EC328-1763237001970
0x5845643df9d281b78707b6929264f698615ec328
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.31K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.57K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $203.58
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $896.84
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$445.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.65
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$959.94
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.9% 183.42 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.7% 375.81 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.7% 171.8 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.7% 840.57 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.9% 2,664.1 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 90.6% 3,066.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 59% 1,100.42 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes 23% 732.32 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 19.5% 4,869.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Yes 3.2% 6,183.81 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Yes 4.7% 71 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Yes 4.6% 6,112.81 shares