vyemfql

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $307.86
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $280.86

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $220.78
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $103.23

Yes position

Spain snap election called in 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $811.22
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $243.75

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $119.91
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $22.87

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $254.68
Potential payout: $821.55
Potential profit: $566.87
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$243.69

No position

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $496.13
Potential payout: $620.16
Potential profit: $124.03
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$3.89

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $453.03
Potential payout: $523.73
Potential profit: $70.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $21.68
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $488.33
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$69.52

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $432.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $89.5

No position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $57.37
Potential payout: $458.96
Potential profit: $401.59
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$216.92

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $294.43
Potential payout: $389.97
Potential profit: $95.54
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $37.15

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $347.43
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $48.98
Potential payout: $195.92
Potential profit: $146.94
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$44.72

No position

Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $146.63
Potential payout: $176.66
Potential profit: $30.03
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $171
Potential profit: $168.18
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $78
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $72
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $32.95
Potential payout: $146.44
Potential profit: $113.49
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$25.54

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $107.39
Potential payout: $136.8
Potential profit: $29.41
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $21.6
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $98.4
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $89.47
Potential payout: $90.65
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $19.02

No position

Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $76.34
Potential payout: $77.62
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.58

No position

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $73.05
Potential payout: $74.35
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.7

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.52

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.99

No position

Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.12

Yes position

Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.38

Yes position

Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.06

Yes position

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.29

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.22

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.73

Yes position

Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.8

Yes position

Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.8

Yes position

Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.53

Yes position

Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.87

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.53

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.8

No position

Will Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.94

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.95

No position

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.56

No position

Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?