Polymarket Trader

Flaner

@flanerflan

0x585bef2dc5b122bb8b93dd421f32dd1ca2f4753f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.89K
Realized PnL: $145.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $17.36
Potential payout: $34.73K
Potential profit: $34.71K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.67K

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $592.56
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.97K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $766.5
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$1.33K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $3.43K
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $766.5
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$2.48K

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $3.12K
User PnL: -$1.35K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $32.01
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $483.32

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$781.91

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $984.46
Potential profit: $984.46
User PnL: -$738.35

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $103.09
Potential payout: $896.44
Potential profit: $793.35
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$225.14

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $866.6
Potential payout: $893.86
Potential profit: $27.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $30.43

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $778.86
Potential profit: $778.86
User PnL: -$123.94

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $746.91
Potential profit: $746.91
User PnL: -$304.96

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $616.82
Potential profit: $616.82
User PnL: -$558.56

Yes position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $16.47
Potential payout: $577.98
Potential profit: $561.51
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$87.56

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $13.87
Potential payout: $533.38
Potential profit: $519.51
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$82.44

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $86.82
Potential payout: $526.19
Potential profit: $439.37
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$111.87

Yes position

Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $472.35
Potential profit: $472.35
User PnL: -$388.48

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.37
Potential payout: $460.89
Potential profit: $453.52
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$121.68

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $246.43
Potential payout: $394.29
Potential profit: $147.86
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $120.26

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $12.56
Potential payout: $369.49
Potential profit: $356.93
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$76.51

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359.51
Potential profit: $359.51
User PnL: -$63.98

No position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $123.19
Potential payout: $332.94
Potential profit: $209.75
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$30.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42K

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13K

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.62K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84K

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.85K

No position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31K

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11K

No position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.71K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87K

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Georgescu banned from Romania election?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 60% 50.81 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5

Over 73% 100.81 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 16% 10.34 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 30% 10.51 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 30% 10.51 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 25% 16 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 94% 487.45 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 29% 1,369.64 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 6.5% 645.83 shares
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 6.4% 987.58 shares
Chirayu Rana sued?

No 30% 135.01 shares
Chirayu Rana sued?

No 30.7% 8,597.51 shares